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May 2024 Cryptocurrency Market Predictions – Forbes Advisor
Editorial Note: We earn a commission from partner links on Forbes Advisor. Fees do not influence the opinions or ratings of our editors.
Bitcoin has retreated from all-time highs and other major cryptocurrencies have struggled as investors aren’t getting the bitcoin halving boost they want.
Investors have flocked to bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in recent months after the first bitcoin exchange-traded funds launched in January. However, optimism surrounding the imminent launch of the first Ethereum spot ETFs has faded in recent weeks.
Furthermore, cryptocurrency investors are increasingly concerned about a potential downturn in the US economy as inflation remains stubbornly sticky while GDP growth fell sharply in the first quarter.
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Cryptocurrency market performance in April
Inflows towards a new spot Bitcoin ETFs pushed bitcoin prices to new all-time highs above $73,000 in March. However, bitcoin prices have fallen from their April highs. They finished the month slightly above $60,000.
Likewise, after rising as high as $4,092 in March, Ethereum prices ended April just below $3,000, as investors continue to hope that the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs will soon open the door to the approval of Spot ETF on Ethereum by the United States. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Although bitcoin prices fell more than 8% in April, they are still up about 50% year to date. Ethereum prices also fell more than 8% in the month, but are up about 40% so far in 2024.
The largest spot bitcoin ETF by assets under management, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC), fell 11% in April. However, this was caused by investor concerns about that particular fund’s annual cost, not jitters over cryptocurrency-related strategic issues or macroeconomic trends.
Among the 10 largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, Toncoin (TON) was the best performer in April with a gain of 5%. Avalanche (AVAX) was the worst performer, down 37%.
Bitcoin halving completed
The bitcoin network has completed its last halving event on April 19th. Every time another 210,000 blocks of transactions are added to the bitcoin blockchain, the network automatically undergoes a halving, during which the reward that bitcoin miners receive for validating a block of transactions is halved.
Bitcoin halvings reduce the supply of new BTC created. Historically, bitcoin prices have bottomed out about a year before a halving occurs and continue to rise for about a year after the halving is completed.
The latest halving at block 840,000 in the bitcoin blockchain was the fourth halving completed by the bitcoin network since the cryptocurrency launched in 2009. The halving reduced the number of rewards bitcoin miners receive for verifying a single block of transactions from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Launch of Bitcoin runes
The latest bitcoin halving also coincided with the launch of Bitcoin Runes, a new protocol that will allow cryptocurrency enthusiasts to create and trade meme coins on the bitcoin blockchain. Meme coins are a subset of cryptocurrencies typically created as satire and intended as a tribute to internet culture.
Bitcoin Runes was developed by Casey Rodarmor, who previously created and launched Bitcoin Ordinals in 2023. Bitcoin Ordinals has actually brought non-fungible tokens, or NFT, to the bitcoin network for the first time. The popularity of NFT trading on the Ethereum network and other blockchains has exploded in recent years.
Unlike NFTs, which are all unique, Bitcoin Runes allows for the creation of identical and interchangeable fungible tokens, just like different $1 bills.
The Bitcoin Runes market has very low liquidity and has demonstrated extreme price volatility following its launch. As of late April, more than two-thirds of Runes were in the red, and critics have blasted the protocol for its role in raising fees on bitcoin transactions.
Spot ETF on Ethereum?
VanEck, ARK Investment Management and seven other companies have filed applications with the SEC to launch Ethereum spot ETFs in the United States
The first deadline to decide the spot Ethereum ETF is May 23 for the VanEck application. It is expected to be followed by the ARK application decision deadline on May 24. Unfortunately, applicants have reported that recent meetings with the SEC have been disheartening. Sources familiar with the matter suggest that the SEC will likely reject the first wave of applications for Ethereum spot ETFs.
The SEC approved the first batch of Ethereum futures ETFs in October 2023, leaving investors hoping that a spot Ethereum ETF could arrive soon. Ethereum Futures ETFs Hold Up futures contractswhile an Ethereum spot ETF would directly hold the ETH cryptocurrency.
The SEC may want to observe the performance of Ethereum futures ETFs and bitcoin spot ETFs for an extended period before giving the green light to Ethereum spot ETFs.
More regulatory headaches ahead
Meanwhile, regulators continued their crackdown on the cryptocurrency market in April:
- On April 24, the U.S. Department of Justice filed charges against the cofounders of Samourai Wallet related to their alleged role in facilitating more than $100 million in money laundering.
- After the SEC sent Consensys Software a notice to Wells in early April warning the company of impending enforcement action, Consensys filed a lawsuit against the SEC in response, challenging the regulator’s authority over Ethereum.
- On April 10, cryptocurrency exchange Uniswap Labs also revealed that it had received a Wells notice from the SEC, informing the exchange that the regulator intends to recommend legal action against it.
James Davies, co-founder and chief product officer of Crypto Valley Exchange, says the SEC’s actions against Samourai, Consensys and Uniswap have had a much bigger impact in recent weeks than the Bitcoin halving.
“The bitcoin halving was widely expected, and people expected the launch of Runes (the latter of which was clearly a buy the news, sell the event situation), but these moves by the US regulator were not just as telegraphed and will have much broader impacts on the industry,” says Davies.
However, Davies also says that Ripple and other crypto projects and platforms targeted by regulators will continue to fight back in court.
“Importantly, Ripple’s apparent success in fighting the SEC in court has encouraged other projects to do the same, and we would expect the countersuits to set the stage for court battles that will define the industry in the future,” says Davies .
More cryptocurrency headlines
On April 5, a New York jury sided with the SEC in its lawsuit against Terraform Labs and the company’s former CEO Do Kwon.
The jury ruled that the South Korean entrepreneur and his company defrauded investors by misleading them about the stability of the TerraUSD stablecoin before its collapse in 2022, which wiped out $40 billion in value.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF continues to see heavy outflows as investors abandon GBTC stocks in favor of spot bitcoin ETFs with a more investor-friendly fee structure.
As of mid-April, investors had taken more than $16 billion out of the GBTC fund since it converted to an ETF on Jan. 11. During the same period, the 10 competing bitcoin spot funds recorded more than $29 billion in net inflows.
Crypto catalysts ahead
Anthony Rousseau, head of brokerage solutions at TradeStation Group, says cryptocurrency investors can expect more volatility in May tied to the ongoing regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrencies.
“I believe the Department of Justice, the SEC and this administration continue to attack the industry and will take every measure possible to slow adoption,” Rousseau says.
However, Rousseau says the cryptocurrency train appears to have already left the station and it will be difficult for regulators to slow it down.
“The pace at which this industry is being attacked has not stopped and adoption continues without regard [for] these events, which is surprising.”
Furthermore, the next few weeks could represent a critical phase for the US economy. Investors tend to sell stocks, cryptocurrencies and other risky assets when they anticipate future economic weakness.
In April, the Department of Labor reported the incident Consumer price index, or CPI, rose 3.5% year over year in March. That’s up from the 3.2% year-over-year growth recorded in February and higher than the 3.4% growth economists had expected.
A few days later, the Commerce Department reported that U.S. GDP grew just 1.6% year over year in the first quarter, down from 3.6% growth in the fourth quarter and well below growth of 2.4% expected by economists.
John Glover, chief investment officer at Ledn, says cryptocurrency investors will pay close attention to U.S. economic data and monetary policy.
“The key to bitcoin price action (a strong indicator for all cryptocurrencies) in May will be the release of data from the US, with all eyes on the inflation data,” says Glover.
“Further focus will be placed on the SEC and if [SEC Chair Gary] Gensler Gives In to Pressure to Allow Spot ETH ETF in US”
News
Ether Drops Further After ETF Launch
Key points
- Spot ether ETFs began trading in the U.S. today, with the funds initially having more than $10 billion in collective assets under management.
- Analysts expect the launch of spot ether ETFs to have a net negative impact on the underlying price of ether in the near term, due to expected outflows from the pre-existing Grayscale Ethereum Trust.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see strong inflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone seeing more than $500 million in inflows on Monday.
- Franklin Templeton, a spot ETF issuer on bitcoin and ether, has invested in a project that intends to bring Ethereum technology to Bitcoin.
Nine-point ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs)) started trading on the stock market on Tuesday, but all the optimism ahead of their approval did not translate into gains for the cryptocurrency markets.
Ether (ETH), the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum blockchain, dropped less than 1% around the $3,400 level as of 1:30 PM ET, while Bitcoin (BTC) fell more than 2% to around $66,000.
Ether ETFs’ Debut Isn’t as Flashy as Bitcoin ETFs’
Spot ether ETFs began trading at just over $10 billion assets under management (AUM)), according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart, most of that money is in the current Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) which has now been converted into an ETF.
“In the long term, Grayscale will simultaneously have the highest and lowest fees in the market. The asset manager’s decision to keep its ETHE fee at 2.5% could lead to outflows from the fund,” Kaiko Research said in a note on Monday.
Outflows from ETHE, if they occur, would be similar to those faced by Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) after spot bitcoin ETFs began trading in January of this year, most likely due to high fees for the two original funds. Grayscale’s existing fund charges 2.5% fees, while a new “mini” ether ETF will charge 0.15% and commissions for other ETFs are set at 0.25% or less.
Such outflows could impact the price of ether and market sentiment.
“There could be a pullback shortly after the launch of Ethereum spot ETFs, i.e. outflows from Grayscale Ether Trust could dampen market sentiment in the short term,” Jupiter Zheng, a partner at Hashkey Capital’s liquid fund, told The Block.
But Grayscale remains optimistic.
“Compared to the splashy debut of spot bitcoin ETPs in January, the launch of ethereum ETPs has been relatively muted,” said Zach Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, adding that investors may be “undervaluing” ether ETFs that are “coming to the U.S. market in tandem with a shift in U.S. cryptocurrency policy and the adoption of tokenization by major financial institutions.”
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Continue to Rise
As for bitcoin, there is clearly no lack of demand for spot ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBITS) recorded its sixth-largest day of inflows in its short history on Monday, at $526.7 million, according to data from Farside Investors. Daily inflows for the overall spot bitcoin ETF market also hit their highest level since June 5.
In particular, asset manager Franklin Templeton, which has issued both bitcoin and ether ETFs, appears to have decided to cover its back when it comes to Ethereum by investing in Bitlayer, a way to implement Ethereum technology on a second-layer Bitcoin network, according to CoinDesk.
News
Spot Ether ETFs Start Trading Today: Here’s What You Need to Know
Key points
- Spot ether ETFs will begin trading on U.S. exchanges on Tuesday. Nine ETFs will trade on Cboe BZX, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca.
- Ether ETFs offer investors exposure to the price of their underlying assets.
- Commissions on these new ETFs generally range from 0.15% to 0.25%.
- These ETFs do not provide exposure to Ethereum staking.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially approved nine ether spots (ETH)exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for trading on U.S. exchanges. Trading for these new cryptocurrency investment vehicles begins today. Here’s everything you need to know.
What new ether ETFs are starting to trade today?
Spot ether ETFs starting trading today can be found at Quotation, NYSE Arkand Cboe BZX. Here’s a breakdown of each ETF you can find on these three exchanges, along with the fund tickers:
Cboe BZX will list the Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF (QETH), the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (CETH), the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), the Franklin Ethereum ETF (EZET) and the VanEck Ethereum ETF (ETHV).
Nasdaq will have the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) created by BlackRock, which also operates the largest spot bitcoin ETF under the ticker IBIT.
NYSE Arca will list the Bitwise Ethereum ETF (ETHW) and the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE). The Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH), which will begin trading on the same exchange.
How does an ether ETF work?
Spot ether ETFs are intended to offer exposure to the price of ether held by the funds. Ether is the underlying cryptocurrency of the Ethereal network, the second largest crypto network by market capitalization.
ETF buyers are buying shares of funds that hold ether on behalf of their shareholders. Different spot ether ETFs use different data sources when it comes to setting the price of ether. Grayscale Ethereum Trust, for example, uses the CoinDesk Ether Price Index.
None of the ETFs launching today include pointed etherwhich represents a potential opportunity cost associated with choosing an ETF over other options such as self-custody or a traditional cryptocurrency exchange.
Ether staking currently has an annual return of 3.32%, according to the Compass Staking Yield Reference Index Ethereum. However, it is possible that the SEC will eventually approve Ether staking held by ETFs.
How can I trade Ether ETFs?
ETFs can simplify the trading process for investors. In the case of cryptocurrencies, instead of taking full custody of the ether and taking care of your own private keysSpot ether ETFs allow investors to purchase the cryptocurrency underlying the Ethereum network through traditional brokerage accounts.
Today, not all brokers may offer their clients spot ETFs on cryptocurrencies.
What are the fees for ether ETFs?
The fees associated with each individual spot ether ETF were previously revealed In the S-1 OR S-3 (depending on the specific ETF) deposit associated with the offerings. These fees are 0.25% or less for all but one.
The Grayscale Ethereum Trust, which converts to an ETF, has a fee of 2.5%. The Grayscale Mini Ethereum Trust has the lowest fee at 0.15%. These fees are charged on an annual basis for the provider’s management of the fund and are in line with what was previously seen with spot bitcoin ETFs.
Brokers may also charge their own fees for cryptocurrency trading.
News
Kamala Harris Odds Surge Amid $81M Fundraise. What Does It Mean for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies?
Market odds and memecoins related to US Vice President Kamala Harris have soared as the latest round of donations tied to the Democratic campaign raised $81 million in 24 hours, bolstering sentiment among some traders.
The odds of Harris being declared the Democratic nominee have risen further to 90% on cryptocurrency betting app Polymarket, up from 80% on Monday and setting a new high.
Previously, in early July, bettors were only betting on 8%, but that changed on Saturday when incumbent President Joe Biden announced he would no longer run in the November election. Biden then approved Harris as a candidate.
Polymarket traders placed $28.6 million in bets in favor of Harris, the data showsThe second favorite is Michelle Obama.
Somewhere else, Memecoin KAMA based on Solanaa political meme token modeled after Harris, has jumped 62% to set a new all-time high of 2 cents at a market cap of $27 million. The token is up a whopping 4,000% from its June 18 low of $0.00061, buoyed primarily by the possibility of Harris becoming president.
As such, Harris has yet to publicly comment on cryptocurrencies or her strategy for the growing market. On the other hand, Republican candidate Donald Trump has expressed support for the cryptocurrency market and is expected to appear at the Bitcoin 2024 conference on Saturday.
However, some expect Harris or the Democratic Party to mention the sector in the coming weeks, which could impact price action.
“While he has not yet received the official nomination, there is consensus that last night’s development is in line with current Democratic strategy,” cryptocurrency trading firm Wintermute said in a Monday note emailed to CoinDesk. “Keep an eye on Democrats’ comments on this issue in the coming days.
“The prevailing assumption is that Harris will win the nomination and any deviation from this expectation could cause market volatility,” the firm added.
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Top 30x Cryptocurrency and Coin Presales Today: Artemis Coin at #1, Others Are: BlockDAG, 99Bitcoin, eTukTuk, and WienerAI
The cryptocurrency market has seen a lot of growth and imagination lately, with new ventures popping up regularly. A critical pattern in this space is the rise of crypto pre-sales, which give backers the opportunity to get involved with promising projects early on. Artemis is a standout option for crypto investors looking to expand their portfolios amid the many pre-sales currently underway.
Cryptocurrency presales, commonly referred to as initial coin offerings (ICOs), allow blockchain ventures to raise capital by offering their local tokens to early backers before they become available on open exchanges. Investors can take advantage of these presales by purchasing tokens at a lower price. If the project is successful and the token’s value increases, investors stand to receive significant returns.
>>> Explore the best cryptocurrency pre-sales to buy now <<
The Ultimate List of the Top 5 Cryptocurrency Pre-Sales to Invest In
- Artemis: The aim of Artemis (ARTMS) will become the cryptocurrency equivalent of eBay or Amazon. The upcoming Phase 4 will see the launch of the Artemis Framework, which will serve as a stage for digital money exchanges where buyers, sellers, specialized organizations and those seeking administration can participate in coherent exchanges.
- DAG Block: uses Directed Acyclic Graph technology to increase blockchain scalability.
- 99bitcoin: operates as a crypto learning platform
- WienerAI uses AI-powered trading bots for precise market analysis.
- eTukTuk focuses on environmentally sustainable transportation options, such as electric vehicle charging infrastructure.
We have determined that Artemis is the best new cryptocurrency presale for investment after conducting extensive research. It presents itself as the unrivaled cryptocurrency presale choice currently open.
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Top 5 Crypto Pre-Sales and Best Cryptocurrencies for Investment Today
Artemis (ARTMS) is attempting to establish itself as the cryptocurrency version of eBay or Amazon. The Artemis Crypto System, which will act as a platform for cryptocurrency transactions, will be launched in Phase 4. Buyers, sellers, service providers, and requesters will all benefit from seamless trading with this system. Customers will be able to purchase things, such as mobile phones using digital money, as well as sell products such as involved bicycles and get paid in cryptocurrency. Additionally, crypto money can be used to pay for administrations such as clinical consultations, legitimate care, and freelance work. Artemis Coin will act as the main currency of the ecosystem, with Bitcoin and other well-known cryptocurrencies from various blockchain networks backing it.
Artemis Coin has increased in price from 0.00055 to 0.00101 from 0.00094. Artemis may be attractive to individuals looking to recoup losses in Bitcoin, as predicted by cryptocurrency analysts. At this point, it seems to present an interesting presale opportunity.
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The world of digital currency pre-sales is an exciting and exciting opportunity that could open the door to game-changing blockchain projects. Projects in this article, like Artemis Coin, offer the opportunity to shape the future of various industries and the potential for significant returns as the industry develops.
However, it is imperative to approach these investments with caution, thorough research, portfolio diversification, and awareness of the risks. You can explore the digital currency pre-sale scene with greater certainty and increase your chances of identifying and profiting from the most promising venture opportunities by following the advice and methods in this article.
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