News
The Bitcoin halving promises new market dynamics as miners adjust to reduced rewards

Today’s newsletter focuses on the fourth Bitcoin halving, scheduled for tomorrow. There has been a lot of coverage and price predictions. Mick Roche from Zodia Markets provides a simple explanation of how the Bitcoin halving works, why it matters, and how it could impact the price of bitcoin. Then, Bryan Courtesne from DAIM answers questions you receive on the topic in Ask an Expert.
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Bitcoin miners are rewarded for verifying new blocks on the Bitcoin network and securing it. For this effort, they are paid in bitcoin (BTC) at the current rate of 6.25 BTC per verified block, along with transaction fees. It takes around 10 minutes to verify a new block, and around 144 blocks are verified every day, which equates to rewards of 900 BTC every day. Therefore, the supply of BTC increases daily by this amount.
For every 210,000 blocks mined, available mining rewards are reduced or halved. This occurs approximately every four years. After this upcoming halving, the fourth in the 15-year history of the blockchain, a miner will receive 3.125 BTC for verifying a block, instead of 6.25 BTC. This will reduce the new daily supply of BTC to around 450 BTC.
What is the current state of the market?
The daily volume of BTC traded on exchanges varies depending on the source, but looking at the Messari volumes, we see a daily volume range of around $30 billion. At current prices (BTC = $64,000), the new reduced supply will be equal to $29 million, or about 1% of the average daily volume traded on the exchange, down from 2%.
Miners, however, may not sell all of their new coins. Search from CoinShares suggests that the average cost of mining one bitcoin after the halving will be around $40,000, depending on many variables. Therefore, miners whose operating costs are lower than the current market rate can choose to hold onto their coin and not release it to the market. However, it has always been this way. There are some miners who sell all the rewarded BTC when they get it (to profit, cover operating costs, or for capital investment) and others who hold excess Bitcoin in the expectation of price appreciation.
Another consideration is the “float” (actively traded coins) in BTC. Currently approximately 93.5% or 19.635 million of all BTC has been mined. Of that, about 75% they are considered long-term held (where BTC has been in a wallet for more than 155 days). This would leave a free float of around 5 million BTC, increasing supply by 0.01% per day.
Also worth considering are the new spot ETFs on Bitcoin. THE average daily volume of inflows in new ETFs (including grayscale outflows) is $202 million. This affects prices much more than reducing supply.
What could this mean for the price of bitcoin?
While it is obvious that a decrease in supply should be a net positive for the price of any commodity, this should also be true for bitcoin. The question is: how much should it increase and has the price increase already been integrated into the current price? As we saw with the ETF announcements, most predetermined stocks become “Buy the rumor, sell the fact” events, and we see the risk of that here too.
We do not find it useful to look back at previous halvings, as there is not enough data for them to be statistically significant. Furthermore, it is difficult to try to extrapolate correlations to the halvings of an instrument that has gone from $0 to $70,000 in a short period of time.
A much bigger influence on the price of bitcoin will be ETF flows, as these have the potential to change dramatically depending on sentiment. These flows can easily exceed the reduction in supply due to the halving.
We see that the halving will have a much bigger impact on miners than the price of bitcoin. Miners will have to adjust their operations to accommodate the smaller rewards they will get, whether it be capital expenditure on more efficient equipment, reducing operational costs or, even, selling more of the mined bitcoin.
One goal for participants in the digital asset space is to increase institutional adoption. Reducing new daily supply by $29 million per day in a market that already trades around $30 billion is relatively trivial. If the market cannot handle a daily supply reduction of $29 million, then it is not ready for institutions.
Pay attention to ETF flows; they will dictate the price more than a small decrease in supply growth.
Q. How does the bitcoin halving affect the supply of bitcoin and what impact does this have on its price?
The supply of bitcoins in the secondary market depends on holders trying to sell existing bitcoins and miners trying to sell the newly minted bitcoins they receive. Typically, between halvings, the release of these new bitcoins creates some sort of equilibrium in the secondary market’s supply/demand dynamic where the reward can support demand. When the halving occurs, a supply shock is created as the equilibrium is disturbed and no longer meets demand. Historically this has been a catalyst for dramatic price increases.
Q. Can you explain the concept of “halving cycles” in the context of Bitcoin’s price history?
Since the halving is scheduled to occur every 210,000 blocks, it creates a distinct time gap between these events that lasts approximately four years. In these four years, historically there has been a price peak, a price trough, a part of the bull cycle and a part of the bear cycle. Historically, the greatest price appreciation occurred in the month before and after the halving. This is a result of the supply shock created by the halving. Once the new balance between supply and demand is reached, the price peaks and then a drastic sell-off occurs until the price of BTC reaches the bottom or bottom. This usually occurs 12-18 months after the halving. Once we hit bottom, the price moves, then rises steadily until we get close to the halving and the cycle repeats.
Q. What are some potential strategies investors should consider before, during and after a Bitcoin halving event?
The main strategy we recommend for an investor with a long-term time horizon is simply to buy and hold. Cryptocurrency volatility can be difficult to manage, and it’s easy to find yourself on the wrong end of a trade. This tends to lead to very emotional and suboptimal decision making. Over a multi-year time frame, Bitcoin has tended to provide a great return to investors, so trying to improve on an already great return is not necessary to make a strategy successful.
News
Ether Drops Further After ETF Launch

Key points
- Spot ether ETFs began trading in the U.S. today, with the funds initially having more than $10 billion in collective assets under management.
- Analysts expect the launch of spot ether ETFs to have a net negative impact on the underlying price of ether in the near term, due to expected outflows from the pre-existing Grayscale Ethereum Trust.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see strong inflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT alone seeing more than $500 million in inflows on Monday.
- Franklin Templeton, a spot ETF issuer on bitcoin and ether, has invested in a project that intends to bring Ethereum technology to Bitcoin.
Nine-point ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs)) started trading on the stock market on Tuesday, but all the optimism ahead of their approval did not translate into gains for the cryptocurrency markets.
Ether (ETH), the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum blockchain, dropped less than 1% around the $3,400 level as of 1:30 PM ET, while Bitcoin (BTC) fell more than 2% to around $66,000.
Ether ETFs’ Debut Isn’t as Flashy as Bitcoin ETFs’
Spot ether ETFs began trading at just over $10 billion assets under management (AUM)), according to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart, most of that money is in the current Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) which has now been converted into an ETF.
“In the long term, Grayscale will simultaneously have the highest and lowest fees in the market. The asset manager’s decision to keep its ETHE fee at 2.5% could lead to outflows from the fund,” Kaiko Research said in a note on Monday.
Outflows from ETHE, if they occur, would be similar to those faced by Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) after spot bitcoin ETFs began trading in January of this year, most likely due to high fees for the two original funds. Grayscale’s existing fund charges 2.5% fees, while a new “mini” ether ETF will charge 0.15% and commissions for other ETFs are set at 0.25% or less.
Such outflows could impact the price of ether and market sentiment.
“There could be a pullback shortly after the launch of Ethereum spot ETFs, i.e. outflows from Grayscale Ether Trust could dampen market sentiment in the short term,” Jupiter Zheng, a partner at Hashkey Capital’s liquid fund, told The Block.
But Grayscale remains optimistic.
“Compared to the splashy debut of spot bitcoin ETPs in January, the launch of ethereum ETPs has been relatively muted,” said Zach Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, adding that investors may be “undervaluing” ether ETFs that are “coming to the U.S. market in tandem with a shift in U.S. cryptocurrency policy and the adoption of tokenization by major financial institutions.”
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Continue to Rise
As for bitcoin, there is clearly no lack of demand for spot ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBITS) recorded its sixth-largest day of inflows in its short history on Monday, at $526.7 million, according to data from Farside Investors. Daily inflows for the overall spot bitcoin ETF market also hit their highest level since June 5.
In particular, asset manager Franklin Templeton, which has issued both bitcoin and ether ETFs, appears to have decided to cover its back when it comes to Ethereum by investing in Bitlayer, a way to implement Ethereum technology on a second-layer Bitcoin network, according to CoinDesk.
News
Spot Ether ETFs Start Trading Today: Here’s What You Need to Know

Key points
- Spot ether ETFs will begin trading on U.S. exchanges on Tuesday. Nine ETFs will trade on Cboe BZX, Nasdaq and NYSE Arca.
- Ether ETFs offer investors exposure to the price of their underlying assets.
- Commissions on these new ETFs generally range from 0.15% to 0.25%.
- These ETFs do not provide exposure to Ethereum staking.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially approved nine ether spots (ETH)exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for trading on U.S. exchanges. Trading for these new cryptocurrency investment vehicles begins today. Here’s everything you need to know.
What new ether ETFs are starting to trade today?
Spot ether ETFs starting trading today can be found at Quotation, NYSE Arkand Cboe BZX. Here’s a breakdown of each ETF you can find on these three exchanges, along with the fund tickers:
Cboe BZX will list the Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF (QETH), the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (CETH), the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), the Franklin Ethereum ETF (EZET) and the VanEck Ethereum ETF (ETHV).
Nasdaq will have the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) created by BlackRock, which also operates the largest spot bitcoin ETF under the ticker IBIT.
NYSE Arca will list the Bitwise Ethereum ETF (ETHW) and the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE). The Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH), which will begin trading on the same exchange.
How does an ether ETF work?
Spot ether ETFs are intended to offer exposure to the price of ether held by the funds. Ether is the underlying cryptocurrency of the Ethereal network, the second largest crypto network by market capitalization.
ETF buyers are buying shares of funds that hold ether on behalf of their shareholders. Different spot ether ETFs use different data sources when it comes to setting the price of ether. Grayscale Ethereum Trust, for example, uses the CoinDesk Ether Price Index.
None of the ETFs launching today include pointed etherwhich represents a potential opportunity cost associated with choosing an ETF over other options such as self-custody or a traditional cryptocurrency exchange.
Ether staking currently has an annual return of 3.32%, according to the Compass Staking Yield Reference Index Ethereum. However, it is possible that the SEC will eventually approve Ether staking held by ETFs.
How can I trade Ether ETFs?
ETFs can simplify the trading process for investors. In the case of cryptocurrencies, instead of taking full custody of the ether and taking care of your own private keysSpot ether ETFs allow investors to purchase the cryptocurrency underlying the Ethereum network through traditional brokerage accounts.
Today, not all brokers may offer their clients spot ETFs on cryptocurrencies.
What are the fees for ether ETFs?
The fees associated with each individual spot ether ETF were previously revealed In the S-1 OR S-3 (depending on the specific ETF) deposit associated with the offerings. These fees are 0.25% or less for all but one.
The Grayscale Ethereum Trust, which converts to an ETF, has a fee of 2.5%. The Grayscale Mini Ethereum Trust has the lowest fee at 0.15%. These fees are charged on an annual basis for the provider’s management of the fund and are in line with what was previously seen with spot bitcoin ETFs.
Brokers may also charge their own fees for cryptocurrency trading.
News
Kamala Harris Odds Surge Amid $81M Fundraise. What Does It Mean for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies?

Market odds and memecoins related to US Vice President Kamala Harris have soared as the latest round of donations tied to the Democratic campaign raised $81 million in 24 hours, bolstering sentiment among some traders.
The odds of Harris being declared the Democratic nominee have risen further to 90% on cryptocurrency betting app Polymarket, up from 80% on Monday and setting a new high.
Previously, in early July, bettors were only betting on 8%, but that changed on Saturday when incumbent President Joe Biden announced he would no longer run in the November election. Biden then approved Harris as a candidate.
Polymarket traders placed $28.6 million in bets in favor of Harris, the data showsThe second favorite is Michelle Obama.
Somewhere else, Memecoin KAMA based on Solanaa political meme token modeled after Harris, has jumped 62% to set a new all-time high of 2 cents at a market cap of $27 million. The token is up a whopping 4,000% from its June 18 low of $0.00061, buoyed primarily by the possibility of Harris becoming president.
As such, Harris has yet to publicly comment on cryptocurrencies or her strategy for the growing market. On the other hand, Republican candidate Donald Trump has expressed support for the cryptocurrency market and is expected to appear at the Bitcoin 2024 conference on Saturday.
However, some expect Harris or the Democratic Party to mention the sector in the coming weeks, which could impact price action.
“While he has not yet received the official nomination, there is consensus that last night’s development is in line with current Democratic strategy,” cryptocurrency trading firm Wintermute said in a Monday note emailed to CoinDesk. “Keep an eye on Democrats’ comments on this issue in the coming days.
“The prevailing assumption is that Harris will win the nomination and any deviation from this expectation could cause market volatility,” the firm added.
News
Top 30x Cryptocurrency and Coin Presales Today: Artemis Coin at #1, Others Are: BlockDAG, 99Bitcoin, eTukTuk, and WienerAI

The cryptocurrency market has seen a lot of growth and imagination lately, with new ventures popping up regularly. A critical pattern in this space is the rise of crypto pre-sales, which give backers the opportunity to get involved with promising projects early on. Artemis is a standout option for crypto investors looking to expand their portfolios amid the many pre-sales currently underway.
Cryptocurrency presales, commonly referred to as initial coin offerings (ICOs), allow blockchain ventures to raise capital by offering their local tokens to early backers before they become available on open exchanges. Investors can take advantage of these presales by purchasing tokens at a lower price. If the project is successful and the token’s value increases, investors stand to receive significant returns.
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The Ultimate List of the Top 5 Cryptocurrency Pre-Sales to Invest In
- Artemis: The aim of Artemis (ARTMS) will become the cryptocurrency equivalent of eBay or Amazon. The upcoming Phase 4 will see the launch of the Artemis Framework, which will serve as a stage for digital money exchanges where buyers, sellers, specialized organizations and those seeking administration can participate in coherent exchanges.
- DAG Block: uses Directed Acyclic Graph technology to increase blockchain scalability.
- 99bitcoin: operates as a crypto learning platform
- WienerAI uses AI-powered trading bots for precise market analysis.
- eTukTuk focuses on environmentally sustainable transportation options, such as electric vehicle charging infrastructure.
We have determined that Artemis is the best new cryptocurrency presale for investment after conducting extensive research. It presents itself as the unrivaled cryptocurrency presale choice currently open.
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Top 5 Crypto Pre-Sales and Best Cryptocurrencies for Investment Today
Artemis (ARTMS) is attempting to establish itself as the cryptocurrency version of eBay or Amazon. The Artemis Crypto System, which will act as a platform for cryptocurrency transactions, will be launched in Phase 4. Buyers, sellers, service providers, and requesters will all benefit from seamless trading with this system. Customers will be able to purchase things, such as mobile phones using digital money, as well as sell products such as involved bicycles and get paid in cryptocurrency. Additionally, crypto money can be used to pay for administrations such as clinical consultations, legitimate care, and freelance work. Artemis Coin will act as the main currency of the ecosystem, with Bitcoin and other well-known cryptocurrencies from various blockchain networks backing it.
Artemis Coin has increased in price from 0.00055 to 0.00101 from 0.00094. Artemis may be attractive to individuals looking to recoup losses in Bitcoin, as predicted by cryptocurrency analysts. At this point, it seems to present an interesting presale opportunity.
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The world of digital currency pre-sales is an exciting and exciting opportunity that could open the door to game-changing blockchain projects. Projects in this article, like Artemis Coin, offer the opportunity to shape the future of various industries and the potential for significant returns as the industry develops.
However, it is imperative to approach these investments with caution, thorough research, portfolio diversification, and awareness of the risks. You can explore the digital currency pre-sale scene with greater certainty and increase your chances of identifying and profiting from the most promising venture opportunities by following the advice and methods in this article.
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